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Intel 7nm due 2022


Daniel Nenni, Intel 7nm due 2022, Semiwiki,  here.

Vincent Natalie, HPC Wire, Why 2016 Is the Most Important Year in HPC in Over Two Decades, here.

Intel and NVIDIA are battling each other for the massive number crunching and data moving work that is the hallmark of HPC. It’s the kind of work that includes modeling and simulation tasks of everything from airflow over automobiles and aircraft, climate and weather modeling, seismic processing, reservoir simulation and much more. This year that battle is being played out by the matchup between Knights Landing and Pascal. An enormous amount is at stake and the HPC hardware market only scratches the surface. The real cost is in the millions of person-hours that will be invested writing and porting massive, complicated technical codes to one of these two platforms. It’s a huge investment for companies and developers and it will set the HPC course for the next decade. Will Intel’s Knights Landing begin to put the pressure on NVIDIA’s Pascal or will Pascal become Intel’s Knight’s Mare. This year will tell.

Ashram Eassa, Fool,  Intel Corporation May Have Pushed 7-Nanometer Tech to 2021, here.

I suspect what’s going on here is that Intel had originally planned to release products manufactured on its 7-nanometer technology in the 2020 time frame, but for whatever reason the company has delayed that until 2022.

If we consider what Intel has publicly said about its manufacturing plans, this actually makes a lot of sense. Intel is expected to go into manufacturing on its first 10-nanometer products during the second half of 2017. For simplicity, let’s assume that volume availability of 10-nanometer product doesn’t happen until January 2018.

Intel has said that it plans three waves of 10-nanometer technology: 10-nanometer, 10-nanometer+, and 10-nanometer++. If Intel keeps to an annual product launch cadence, then we should see volume availability of the first 10-nanometer+ products in January 2019, and the first 10-nanometer++ products in January 2020.

Based on this cadence, which is admittedly probably on the pessimistic side, the first products based on 7-nanometer would be expected to launch in January 2021 — a bit earlier than the 2022 time frame given in the job listing.

What Intel could be planning, then, is to introduce substantially enhanced chip designs a year after the first 7-nanometer products, which could very well be modest updates to the final 10-nanometer++ products. In fact, Intel’s product cadence is now referred to as “Process, Architecture, Optimization,” so fundamentally new architecture products on 7-nanometer could, indeed, arrive in January 2022.

John R. Birge, Northwestern, talk, Stochastic Optimization in Asser-Liability Management, here.



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